All contenders
#2 West · 2026 Playoffs
SAS
San Antonio

Spurs

Nobody expected the rebuild to arrive this fast. One of the great storybook runs in modern NBA history — anchored by the most disruptive defensive player since prime Garnett.

Title odds
25.0%
Moneyline
+300
Regular season
61-21
Last title
2014
Western Conference Finals
Next: Game 5 at OKC

Who decides it

The three names that have to play like themselves — and the x-factor who tips it either way.

Victor Wembanyama
Generational big · DPOY
26.9 PPG · 12.1 RPG · 4.3 BPG

The defensive equalizer. Erases drives, contests every shot, and forces opponents into a kind of offense nobody runs naturally.

Stephon Castle
Lead guard · Year 2
19.4 PPG · 6.8 APG

The decision-maker. Composed for a sophomore — the Spurs go as far as he goes when Wemby is doubled.

Dylan Harper
Wing scorer · rookie
15.2 PPG · 4.4 APG

The rookie nobody saw coming as a Finals contributor. Big nights when defenses lock in on Wemby.

The path to the trophy

What has to happen — and the one thing that could blow it all up.

The path
  1. 1Steal one in OKC across Games 5 and 7 — homecourt already flipped once
  2. 2Wemby forces OKC into mid-range shot diet
  3. 3Knicks-or-Cavs Finals lets the Spurs play their pace
Biggest risk

Inexperience. Wembanyama has never played a Finals game. Castle and Harper are in their first deep playoff runs. One bad quarter in an elimination game can swing everything.

Net rating in the playoffs
+9.6
Wembanyama altering everything at the rim
Stole Game 1 in Oklahoma City — homecourt swung
Fox & Castle give the youngest contender real backcourt punch
Head coach Mitch Johnson · Frost Bank Center