Advanced stats · Knicks vs Spurs

The numbers
under the Finals

Six interactive views of the 2026 Finals matchup — team profiles, the Four Factors, playoff net ratings, player scoring efficiency, a 3D clutch-time shot chart you can spin, and per-player shot-location hot spots. Hover or drag any view for the detail.

Playoff advanced metrics · model estimates · updated June 3, 2026
Team profiles

Two ways to win a title

Each axis is a 0–100 quality rating across six advanced dimensions. San Antonio owns the paint and rim protection; New York wins the shooting and spacing battle. Where the shapes diverge is where the series gets decided.

Spurs
Knicks
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Dean Oliver's Four Factors

The four factors of winning

Shooting (eFG%), ball security (TOV%), offensive rebounding (ORB%) and getting to the line (FT Rate) explain most of who wins a game. New York shoots and protects the ball better; San Antonio crushes the offensive glass.

Spurs
Knicks
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Point differential

Net rating through the playoffs

Points scored minus points allowed per 100 possessions. The two finalists are separated by less than two points — and the team with the best mark of the four (OKC) is already watching from home.

Finalist
Eliminated
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Usage vs efficiency

Who carries the load — and how well

Each dot is a key rotation player: how much of the offense runs through them (Usage%) against how efficiently they score (True Shooting%). The upper-right corner is the dream — high volume, high efficiency. That's where Wembanyama and Brunson live.

Spurs
Knicks
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Clutch time · final 5:00, margin ≤ 5

Where the games are won

Every clutch-time shot from the Finals run, plotted in 3D. Drag to orbit the floor; solid spheres are makes, hollow ones are misses. Hover any shot for the player and the moment.

Spurs
Knicks
Make Miss
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Drag to rotate · scroll to zoom · auto-spinning half-court
PlayerClutch PPGFGFG%+/−
Jalen Brunson
8.421/3953.8%+26
Victor Wembanyama
6.115/2657.7%+19
Karl-Anthony Towns
4.711/2250.0%+13
De'Aaron Fox
5.213/3043.3%+8
Stephon Castle
3.89/1947.4%+9
OG Anunoby
3.18/1650.0%+11

Numbers say it's close. Wemby says otherwise.

The profiles, factors and efficiency all point to a coin-flip — but rim protection is the one axis nobody else has. See the full pick on the Finals predictor.

Finals predictor